Hill Times: Failed asylum-seeker motion shows Conservatives ‘smelled blood in the water’ with minister, immigration as wedge issue, say politicos
Hill Times: Failed asylum-seeker motion shows Conservatives ‘smelled blood in the water’ with minister, immigration as wedge issue, say politicos
Conservatives are capitalizing on the recent drop in public support for immigration, but risk being seen as too MAGA adjacent, say observers. Meanwhile, the immigration minister's own colleagues question her handling of the file.
The Conservatives’ defeated motion targeting health-care coverage for asylum claimants shows weaknesses on both the part of the Liberal immigration minister and the official opposition leader, with MAGA-like rhetoric posing political risk for the latter, observers say.
Jordan Leichnitz, a former NDP strategist who now works for the German non-profit Friedrich Ebert Stiftung, told The Hill Times in a Feb. 26 interview that the Conservatives’ pressure on the immigration file is a reflection of their own political fragility.
“To me, it’s a manifestation of their political weakness right now. They turn to these arguments because they’re very mobilizing for segments of their base at moments where they feel politically more vulnerable,” she said.
On Feb. 25, MPs voted down a motion tabled by Conservative immigration critic Michelle Rempel Garner (Calgary Nose Hill, Alta.) that called on the government to review federal benefits provided to asylum claimants, and to restrict benefits received by rejected claimants to emergency care only.
Ottawa’s Interim Federal Health Program (IFHP) pays for urgent or essential health care in Canada for refugees, protected persons, or asylum claimants on a temporary basis.
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Rempel Garner said the program has “morphed well beyond its initial intent” of providing health care to legitimate refugees who were fleeing to this country from war zones, and that it’s an unfair system favouring non-citizens over Canadians.
“Today, it is a massive boondoggle that provides care to many bogus asylum claimants. The cost of this program has ballooned, too,” she said in the House on Feb. 24.
Asylum seekers whose claims are denied by the Immigration and Refugee Board may be able to remain in Canada while they appeal the decision.
A Feb. 12 report by the Parliamentary Budget Office estimates that total IFHP costs will reach almost $1-billion in 2025‑26, and rise to more than $1.5-billion by 2029‑30. The report, prepared in response to a request from the House Health Committee, notes that between 2020-21 and 2024-25, the program’s cost grew from $211-million to $896-million as both the number of beneficiaries and the cost per beneficiary increased significantly.
“Enough is enough,” Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre (Battle River–Crowfoot, Alta.) said about the program in a Feb. 23 video posted on X.
“We can’t allow foreign criminals to take advantage of our system, false refugee claims to overwhelm the services that you pay for.”
The immigration focus reflects the fragility of Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre’s position, despite his 87-per-cent leadership vote support, says Jordan Leichnitz. The Hill Times Photographs by Andrew Meade
‘Political risk’ for Conservatives in criticizing immigration in Canada: Leichnitz
Some critics argue that the motion never really had a chance of passing with Liberals inching closer to having a majority in Parliament, and that the Conservatives are using a populist narrative around immigration that echoes United States President Donald Trump’s Make America Great Again movement.
Ekos Research data from October 2025 suggested that 49 per cent of Conservative voters approved of how Trump was doing his job, while, for Liberal voters, that support was at just two per cent.
Leichnitz argued that the Conservatives have picked up on the low public support for immigration in Canada over the last couple of years, and are trying to exploit that as a wedge issue.
Public opinion polls have shown that, over the last three years, there has been an increase in Canadians who think the government is accepting too many immigrants, and managing programs poorly. Abacus Data findings from last fall suggested that 49 per cent of Canadians look at immigration negatively, citing impacts on the cost and availability of housing, and pressure on the health-care system.
“They [the Conservatives] have smelled blood in the water with a minister who appears to be weak, so they were taking an opportunity to put pressure on the government on this file,” Leichnitz said.
Immigration Minister Lena Diab (Halifax West, N.S) has been under scrutiny for poor performance, drawing criticism from some of her Liberal colleagues—nine of whom told Radio-Canada she seems overwhelmed with the portfolio. Sudanese Canadian and Turkish Canadian groups have also reported difficulties in securing meetings with Diab to discuss issues with various resettlement programs.
Last December, Rempel Garner called Diab “a very bad minister” at a House committee meeting after Diab struggled to provide responses to MPs’ questions on whether she will use powers under the government’s border security bill C-12 to extend temporary visas.
U.S. President Donald Trump’s 2016 election slogan, ‘Make America Great Again,’ has become the brand for a nationalist political movement that has some support in Canada. White House photograph by Molly Riley
Tim Powers, a former adviser to Conservative political leaders and current chairman of Summa Strategies, also said the timing of the Tory motion could suggest that it is aimed to go after Diab.
“According to different reports among stakeholders, she is not doing super well, so I suspect the Conservatives are trying to add to her burden by throwing this motion out there,” he said.
“It might also be a bit of a play to some of the Conservative base [who] think that our immigration policy is full of holes, and certainly there are holes.”
In her response to Conservative criticism, Diab said Canada has a “robust” immigration system, and that each asylum application is processed rigorously.
“Those who clearly fit in the system are in there, and we will continue to honour our humanitarian, constitutional, and international obligations,” she said in the House on Feb. 24.
The number of asylum seekers in this country dropped by 33 per cent in 2025 compared to 2024, according to Diab.
Liberal strategist Jonathan Kalles called the failed motion a “political ploy by the Conservatives to stir up anti-immigrant sentiment.”
“This was simply, literally, out of the MAGA playbook to try to embarrass the government and stir up an emotional reaction regarding immigration and asylum seekers,” he said in a Feb. 26 interview.
Kalles argued that Poilievre has been “flailing” both in polls and within his party, and that he is trying to reinforce his support with his base, which Kalles said is a sign of trouble on its own.
On Feb. 18, MP Matt Jeneroux (Edmonton Riverbend, Alta.) became the third Conservative to join the Liberal ranks since November. The Liberals now hold 169 seats out of the 172 needed to form a majority government.
“Conservatives know they’ll lose an election and don’t want to force one. So motions like this are simply desperate attempts to get some attention,” Kalles said.
Immigration Minister Lena Diab has been under scrutiny for failures in Canada’s immigration system. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade
That approach presents political risk for Tories against the backdrop of violently anti-immigrant rhetoric in the U.S. with Trump and the controversial deportations conducted by Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Leichnitz said.
“There’s always a political risk for the Conservatives that by engaging in rhetoric or debates that create space for criticism of immigration and refugee and asylum claimants in Canada, that Canadians will see a connection between that and what they’re seeing in the United States,” she said.
“I won’t go as far as to say ‘is this MAGA populism?’, but I would say there is a chord that [the Conservatives are] striking there among people who think that our Canadian immigration system is broken, and they’re somehow being disadvantaged by it,” Powers said.
“The challenge for the Conservatives is you can’t go too far here, either, because you will get that label [of] just like Trump, just like that crowd—and I don’t think that’s one Pierre Poilievre wants to invite at the moment.”
On Feb. 26, Poilievre delivered a policy speech in Toronto that outlined his proposed approach to Canada-U.S. relations, and highlighted areas of economic disagreement with the American president.
‘Lazy, disingenuous, and malicious’ to draw Trump comparison: Baran
Yaroslav Baran, co-founder of Pendulum Group and a former Conservative Party communications director during Poilievre’s leadership campaign, rejected the idea that the official opposition rhetoric around immigration is ringing too closely to the MAGA movement, calling it “lazy, disingenuous, and malicious to draw those kinds of parallels if you actually look at the facts.”
Baran said the issue is less about political tactics and more about Tories reflecting on what they hear from their constituents, which he said is the belief that rejected asylum claimants get stronger health-care benefits than Canadian citizens and permanent residents. The IFHP also covers dental and vision care, psychologists, and physiotherapists, which are not usually included in provincial healthcare for Canadians.
Noting that the Tory motion centred on health-care access for rejected asylum claimants, Baran said that if the federal government does not address the public’s concerns, then the issue could “fester” and lead to a growth in anti-immigration sentiment.
Kalles suggested the motion fits within a Conservative pattern of targeting immigration policies.
Last September, Poilievre called on the Liberal government to scrap the Temporary Foreign Worker program, and to immediately stop issuing new permits under its umbrella, which also drew criticism from immigration experts.
“When you don’t have answers to other policy issues, you try to distract [the public] by finding somebody to blame,” Kalles said.
Powers argued that the “angst and anxiety people have around Trump is far exceeding some of the more bare-bones populist affordability things that cross political lines,” and that Poilievre needs to expand his game to deal with the more “acute challenges” such as his leadership position and how to deal with the U.S.
Leichnitz also defined the move as “counterprogramming” to some of the Conservatives’ more recent co-operative work in the House as a way to signal that they are still working on issues that are very animating for the Conservative base.
Despite her criticism of the Conservative rhetoric, Leichnitz highlighted that the findings of the PBO report tie back to the huge backlogs in asylum claims in Canada, and said this is an administrative problem on which the government should be working.
The government has taken significant steps to expedite the process for asylum seekers, said Kalles, adding that the advancement of Bill C-12 should significantly decrease the processing times.
“That’s a concrete solution to this challenge,” he said.
The 2025 budget also indicated that a “co-payment model” will be introduced to the IFHP for supplemental health products or services.
NDP immigration critic Jenny Kwan (Vancouver East, B.C.) said the government is “taking a page from the Conservatives” with the co-payment model, and that framing it “as modest fiscal restraint ignores decades of health policy evidence demonstrating that even small user fees deter access to essential care for low-income and medically vulnerable populations.”
People applying for proof of Canadian citizenship are now facing a projected wait of about 19 months, as Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada’s public processing-time tool shows about 99,500 people waiting for a decision.
The July 7 update marks a sharp increase for citizenship certificate applications, also known as proof of citizenship. In April, the wait for the same category was listed at 10 months, with 56,300 applications in line, according to a CIC News report tracking IRCC’s processing-time. By May 12, the wait had risen to 12 months and the queue to about 70,400, according to Moving2Canada. The same platform said the queue stood at 40,400 on Dec. 10, 2025, five days before changes to Canada’s Citizenship Act took effect.
A citizenship certificate is not the same as a citizenship grant. A grant is for permanent residents applying to become citizens. A certificate is proof that someone is already Canadian under the law, including people born outside Canada to Canadian parents, people replacing older proof-of-citizenship documents, and people whose citizenship may have been restored or recognized because of recent legal changes.
The certificate can matter for practical reasons. IRCC says people who believe they may have become citizens under Bill C-3 — the law that changed Canada’s citizenship-by-descent rules — must apply for a citizenship certificate to confirm their status. The document can also be used to apply for a Canadian passport.
Bill C-3 changed Canada’s first-generation limit on citizenship by descent and came into force on Dec. 15, 2025. Under the new rules, some individuals whose connection to a Canadian citizen extends beyond one generation are eligible to apply for citizenship by descent.
NDP immigration critic Jenny Kwan said IRCC should publish more detailed information, including how many proof-of-citizenship applications are waiting, what counts as non-routine and how many files have been designated that way.
“Publishing a single processing time creates false expectations and leaves applicants unable to plan their lives,” Kwan said in a written response. “It doesn’t work as public policy and it doesn’t work for the people applying.”
She said delays have real consequences.
“People can’t obtain passports, travel, access opportunities, or fully exercise their rights as Canadians,” she said. “Effectively their lives are in limbo.”
Weeks ago, IRCC promised that the citizenship reviews for individuals under Bill C-3 would be resolved "within a matter of days". Yet, my office continues to hear from distraught families who have been left completely in the dark—facing suspended citizenship certificates and revoked passports with zero explanation, timelines, or communication from the government.
This is an unacceptable failure of procedural fairness. We are seeing shocking inconsistency, where one family member has their passport seized while others based on the same lineage do not. To make matters worse, my office has received a report of a serious privacy breach where sensitive personal data was mailed to the wrong applicant.
These individuals followed the rules, provided extensive documentation, and had their Canadian citizenship officially recognized. They should not be subjected to prolonged trauma and institutional finger-pointing. I have written an open letter to Immigration Minister Lena Diab demanding immediate accountability.
Parliament passed Bill C-3 to correct historical wrongs for Lost Canadians, not to create a new era of fear and uncertainty where the government can strip your status without explanation. Minister Diab must act now.
The RCMP says it wasn’t its job to ensure its newest border patrol helicopter was allowed to fly in Canada, even as it defends paying for the Black Hawk it can’t use after it was grounded because of concerns from Transport Canada.
The Mounties also won’t reveal the cost of the daily fees they are paying towards the $7.5-million contract for the idle chopper, as critics demand answers from Ottawa over how the RCMP chose a helicopter that’s not eligible to fly in Canada over other options.
“The Carney government must provide a full accounting of how this contract was awarded, who approved it, what due diligence was undertaken, and what steps will be taken to protect public funds going forward, especially given the massive increases in military spending that are forecast over the coming years,” NDP public safety critic Jenny Kwan said in a statement to the Star.